Election 2014 Who fears the fractured mandate ?

B L Saraf
Electioneering    for   the   15th  Lok Sabha is   slowly   but surely     on.  Though the pitch  is   still not feverish ,  yet  the power  seekers and the power brokers,  in  Delhi   and   provincial   capitals, see   a  job  on their hands.  Permutations and combinations are being worked out   to out manoeuvre one another and  hijack the mandate. As  the  polling date  approaches  most of the countrymen look forward to the results  with a hope . They  want present Government to go, after what   they   have   gone through      the last five years   of the  UPA-2  rule.   Physical security concerns, particularly of the womenfolk, the national security scenario,  crippling   high   prices of the essentials,  loss of  jobs  and general mood  of despondency  have demoralised   so many.   Therefore,  some hope  that  spring  will bloom  on the dawn of 16th May   2014when   a  new  government at the Centre will   take  place.  However ,  some are   fearful of the events which may unfold  post May 2014; on  the  assumption   that    no Political party  will   reach  the coveted  number of 272   so as  to form a stable Government in Delhi .   They foresee political and administrative chaos on the  horizon .  The  brazen   exhibition of  inflated  egos , disproportionate   political ambitions and  the  tantrums of the motley crowd of political  mavericks  and the regional satraps  ,  which will be in display in good measure  as soon as the election results are out and they gather in the Capitol,  are  enough   to shake  faith,  even ,  of a diehard  optimist .  It  will be  a  nightmare       for   the   person who has followed  the   contemporary  Indian political   scene.
In the background of the  ensuing  elections,  feelings of hope and despair , simultaneously, enter the thoughts  of a common  man . It is a forgone conclusion that no single political party or  a formation will cross the threshold of 272 in the coming  LokSabha , necessary to  ascend the Delhi throne. So ,  the nation is  for another  coalition   drama. Past  experience   informs us  that  it won’t be a pleasant  one. But then looking back to the Congress governments from 1947   to  1967, coalition of varied political  views,   in the same party ,     is quite visible .  On   one side   we had    certain  political and economic policy of Jawaharlal Nehru,  Moulana Azad, Rafi Ahmad Ansari , Raja ji ,  Krishna Menon  and some others , whileas on the other side there were men like Sardar Patel, Rajindra Prassad, K   M  Munshi, Parshotam Dass Tandon and others  who had serious differences with  some of the   Nehru’s  policies. Then a third  group of equally well-meaning persons co-existed in the grand old party. To name few of them ,    Jay PrakashNarraian,  Acharya Narendra  Dev, Ram  Monohar Lohia,  Ashok Mehta   should suffice . Babu Jagjiwan Ram represented the caste  element.  All cohabited together  under the broad cover of  a political organisation called All India Congress  Party.   Similarly,  the  Party     had   men of extreme probity  and some who had no hard  moral  scruples.
Year 1967 saw  fragmentation of the Congress party   into the various factions , on the lines  held by   the members of   the party who had a different  vision from that of Nehru and others.Thus  started the coalition  era of Governments. U P  Government ofSumyukthVidyak Dal   ( S M D )    was first of its kind .  We  witnessed a strange   communion  of   Jan Sangh    (now B J P)  the “communalists”, ” socialists ”    “secularists” , “progressives”   and the  “reactionaries”    to form   the  S M D Government, led   by   Ch Charan Singh   who had just defected from  the Congress Party   and  was   euphemistically  later   called Ch Chair Sigh. Since then ,   governments at the Centre and the States   happen to go on in the coalition mode. Barring   few hiccups, the  experiment has not totally failed us.  Progress on certain matters   may have lagged behind. But  the institutional  success has always  been on the forward mode . Because  , fundamentals of the governance and the  principal  policy  indicators  are  well and truly on the Auto Pilot . Even in the coalition government, the leading party could manage to push through its manifesto if it happened to be in the national interest. NDA government  made  both Lok Sabha   and the  Rajya Sabha  sit together ,in 2001 ,   to pass through  the POTO  legislation , much against the wishes    of  some of its  constituents. UPA -1  managed to get through the Nuclear  deal with the U SA  despite stiff opposition of its main supporter –  the Communists  . Passage of Telangana  Act is the recent example in this regard.
The situation isn’t   so dismal  if the evolving nature of Indian    federal structure  is any indication.  India is a Union  of  federating units – called the states.  In practice that translates  into a coalition of diverse geo- political formulations.  Our founding fathers  had the vision  to prescribe   federalism  for nation building. That  principle presupposes a coalition of diverse  forces for   all inclusive governance.
There is a brighter side to the picture also    ;   that coalition pressure  (Dharma)  is in  itself sufficient to pull back a hard-line  ruler of the country  from the brink    should he / she be in an adventurous  mode .  It has a great balancing value. Rather than   feeling gloomy on the unfolding political events  and describing the  election result as a fractured mandate, it would be very comforting   if  one has to see the results as a  vote   for  the union of   varying  interests  to see  India as a stable, well integrated and a welfare state  where  every individual’s interest is looked after  well. The unsavoury spectacle of horse trading,  Aaya Rams   and Gya  Rams     could  be  accounted  for as a  onetime  collateral  damage.
(The author is former Principal District & Sessions Judge)