NEW DELHI, Apr 24 : The trade between India and Pakistan will come to a complete halt after New Delhi’s closure of the Attari Integrated Check Post and Islamabad suspending all trade ties in the wake of Pahalgam terror attack, exporters said on Thursday.
The two-way trade between the countries was miniscule following steps taken by both the sides after the Pulwama terror attack in 2019.
Following the terror attack in Pahalgam on Tuesday, which killed 26 people, mostly tourists, India took a series of measures including immediate shutting down of the Attari land-transit post, used for movement of certain kinds of goods.
Besides, India has announced expulsion of Pakistani military attaches, and suspension of the Indus Water Treaty of 1960.
In retaliation, Pakistan announced suspension of ‘all trade’ with India, including that routes through third countries.
Commenting on the development, Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) President S C Ralhan said India’s bilateral trade with Pakistan is miniscule and is just 0.06 per cent of India’s total trade.
“We have minuscule trade with Pakistan, which is constantly declining. During April-January 2024-25, the same was not even USD 500 million as against the overall trade of over USD 800 billion in the same period. The trade will now come to a complete standstill affecting supply of some key products to Pakistan, hitting their economy further,” Ralhan told PTI.
Terrorists opened fire in Pahalgam in the deadliest attack in the Valley since the Pulwama strike in 2019.
India’s exports to Pakistan in April-January 2024-25 stood at USD 447.65 million, while imports were meagre USD 0.42 million. Exports and imports in 2023-24 were USD 1.18 billion and USD 2.88 million, respectively.
In 2022-23 and 2021-22, India exported goods worth USD 627.1 million and USD 513.82 million, and imported products worth USD 20.11 million and USD 2.54 million, respectively.
In April-January 2024-25, exports of organic chemicals and pharmaceutical products accounted for about 60 per cent of the country’s total outbound shipments to Pakistan. It was USD 129.55 million and USD 110.06 million, respectively.
The other items include sugar and sugar confectionary (USD 85.16 million), certain vegetables (USD 3.77 million), coffee, tea and spices (USD 1.66 million), cereals (USD 1.39 million), petroleum products (USD 11.63 million), fertiliser (USD 6 million), plastics (USD 4.16 million), rubber (USD 1.88 million), and auto components (USD 28.57 million).
The main imports include fruits and nuts (USD 0.08 million), certain oil seeds and medicinal plants (USD 0.26 million), organic chemicals, and project goods.
Usually, the consignments from India move via Dubai port to Pakistan.
The India-Pakistan trade relations soured after the Pulwama terror attack.
Following that, India raised the import duty to 200 per cent on all goods imported from the neighbouring country, including fresh fruits, cement, petroleum products and mineral ore.
In 2017-18, Pakistan’s exports to India was USD 488.5 million. India also withdrew MFN (most favoured nation) status to Pakistan.
That time the two main items imported from Pakistan were fruits and cement. Slapping an import duty of 200 per cent effectively means almost banning the imports.
The country invoked a security exception clause of the World Trade Organization (WTO) to withdraw the MFN status. Both the countries are member of this organization.
India had granted the MFN status to Pakistan way back in 1996, but the neighbouring country had not reciprocated.
Under the MFN pact, a WTO member country is obliged to treat the other trading nation in a non-discriminatory manner, especially with regard to customs duty and other levies.
In 2012, Pakistan had committed to giving the MFN status to India but retracted later due to domestic opposition. Instead of MFN, Pakistan said it was working on granting Non-Discriminatory Market Access (NDMA) status to India but that also was not announced.
Pakistan too in August 2019 suspended trade ties with New Delhi following imposition of the heavy import duty by India on imports from Pakistan.
Both countries have a long history of strained relations, primarily due to the Kashmir issue as well as the cross-border terrorism emanating from Pakistan.
Total India-Pakistan trade in 2017-18 was USD 2.41 billion as against USD 2.27 billion in 2016-17. India imported goods worth USD 488.5 million in 2017-18 and exported goods worth USD 1.92 billion.
Commenting on the trade ties, think tank GTRI said as India closes its border with Pakistan in the wake of renewed tensions, trade that was already crippled post Pulwama strike in 2019 is set to stop completely.
“Due to blockage of official channel, an estimated USD 10 billion trade survives via re-exports through the UAE or Singapore,” GTRI Founder Ajay Srivastava said.
Pakistan imports several Indian products this way, including chemicals, pharma, cotton and yarn, tea, coffee, dyes, vegetables like onions and tomatoes, as well as iron, steel, auto parts, sugar, and salt through this route, he said.
On the other hand, India may receive Himalayan pink salt and dry fruits such as dates, apricots, and almonds from Pakistan, also routed through third countries, he added.
“In short, border closures halt formal trade, but not demand. Pakistan will continue sourcing Indian goods, just at a higher cost and through third countries,” he added.
Meanwhile, FIEO has cancelled its managing committee meeting, which was scheduled for April 28 in Kashmir due to tensions in the valley following terror attack at Pahalgam. (PTI)
Follow our WhatsApp channel
